The popular German publication Tagesspiegel published on Sunday, November 21, this year. Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki’s warning that, despite some easing of tensions on the Polish-Belarusian border with migrants, there is a real threat of a new escalation of the situation and escalation of tensions. Moravecki’s statement came in Vilnius on November 21, during which the Polish prime minister paid an official visit.
The German Tagesspiegel notes that Mateusz Morawiecki is sounding the alarm. He wrote on his Twitter that “Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia need help. We must stick together to protect Europe. ” At the same time, he met on Sunday with the heads of government of the three Baltic republics. According to him, in the case of actions using the Belarusian dictator, migrants who were deliberately taken from crisis regions of the world, in particular from the Middle East, to EU regions, this is the biggest attempt to destabilize the EU since the end of the Cold War.
In a video address in English accompanied by dramatic music, Morawiecki also said that Poland “will not succumb to blackmail” and will instead do everything “to stop the evil that threatens Europe.” At the same time, he thanked the EU, the European Commission, the United Kingdom and the United States for supporting Polish efforts on the Belarusian-Polish border. According to Moravetsky, in difficult times it was possible to reach an understanding and prevent a split.
At the same time, criticism of the Polish Prime Minister’s position did not linger. They accuse Morawiecki of over-dramatizing the situation and wanting to avoid acknowledging that Poland, like Hungary, is under EU pressure in the rule of law dispute. The European Commission has recently sent so-called “blue letters” to the governments of Warsaw and Budapest as an unofficial first step towards launching a mechanism to reduce funding for these EU countries due to problems with the rule of law. On the EU’s agenda is the launch of a so-called “rule of law mechanism”, which could block EU financial subsidies for both countries.
Moravecki said on Sunday on the website of Lithuanian Prime Minister Ingrida Simonyte regarding flights in the opposite direction with Kurdish refugees to Iraq that the crisis has now been resolved. However, there is a risk that Belarus, Russia and Uzbekistan may “use the crisis in Afghanistan” for the next influx of refugees.
Moravetsky on Russian military pressure on Ukraine
The refugee crisis is only part of a larger crisis initiated by Lukashenko and “his employer,” Russian President Vladimir Putin, Moravetsky said. The movement of Russian troops on the Ukrainian border has led to “military pressure on Ukraine,” the Polish prime minister warned.
The Prime Minister of Lithuania Simonite stated that the humanitarian crisis of refugees is being prepared and is being carried out in Belarus, “that is why it needs to be resolved here.” At the same time, the attempts of the UN Agency for Affairs
UNHCR refugees to gain permanent access to the border region on both Belarusian and Polish territory have so far been unsuccessful.
For reference. The Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees is an agency of the United Nations system that protects and supports refugees, promotes their local integration, voluntary repatriation or resettlement to a third country.
The Lithuanian Prime Minister assures Warsaw of solidarity
Ingrida Simonite, whose country was the first to focus in the summer due to the increase in the number of refugees, emphasized her “solidarity with Poland”. She said that the neighboring country currently bears “the greatest burden of this hybrid attack.” This term, according to the German publication, means an action that is carried out not by military means, but with the tactics of concealment.
Other border crossings may be closed
Earlier, Moravetsky, after meeting with Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallis, said that Poland could provide financial support for the repatriation of refugees from Belarus. He said, in particular, that “we can finance the return of migrants to their countries of origin at any time, and we have also launched a number of diplomatic activities in Iraq and other Middle Eastern countries.”
During his visit to Estonia, the Polish Prime Minister also stated that his country was ready to close further checkpoints on the border with Belarus. The crossing near Kuznica is currently closed. Moravetsky also imposed additional restrictions on transit and trade in order to increase economic pressure on the Lukashenko regime.
Although there are now signs of a easing of the crisis, Polish border guards said on Sunday, November 21, that a group of about 100 migrants were trying to cross the border.
In Warsaw over the weekend, several hundred people demonstrated for the reception of refugees in Poland, shouting: “No one is illegal.”
The countries of the European Union, the United States and the United Kingdom are deciding, and will certainly, in one way or another, resolve the issue of protecting EU territory from the invasion of refugees provoked by Russia and Minsk.
However, the problem may have an additional, dangerous consequence for Ukraine. Using further waves of refugees from the crisis regions of the Middle East, Moscow and its subordinate Minsk are capable of provoking a humanitarian catastrophe on the Belarusian-Ukrainian border. The result could be a provocation on the border with Ukraine and an invasion of its territory under the guise of a peacekeeping operation.
Such a probable development of events unfavorable for Ukraine in the EU and in the West in general is hardly mentioned. A positive exception is the United Kingdom, which has expressed readiness to send 600 troops to the region. Poland, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia will also become unconditional allies and helpers in the event of Russian aggression against Ukraine.
Ukraine should intensify negotiations on joint participation in repelling the potential aggression of the combined forces of Russia and Belarus at the bilateral level. At the same time, to take measures to improve the structure, combat skills and capabilities of the national Armed Forces, as the protection of state borders is primarily the task of the state itself. Allies will help those who have the courage to defend themselves.